After reviewing video interviews and reading people's perception of the OMG Network, I wanted to derive certain values of the markets which OmiseGO is attempting to enter in 4 main sections. As well the potential market penetration and expectation once the OMG Network goes live. 1) Peer to Peer Transactions
This portion is to allow any individual who uses the OMG Network to trade with another individual by transferring funds. The following is yearly trading volumes through various companies and applications: E-Transfer - $63 Billion E-Transfer 2016 Volume
Western Union - $80 Billion Western Union 2016 Volume
PayPal - $354 Billion PayPal 2016 Volume
AliPay/WeChat - $3 Trillion AliPay/WeChat 2016 Volume P2P Total - $3.497 Trillion 2) Current Omise Partnerships
I won't go into much detail with the following as it was already mentioned. All the current partnerships that Omise currently has will be using the OMG Network, therefore all their financial activity will be transacted. Analysis of the Merchants of Omise Partners Total - Approx $30 Billion 3) Foreign Exchange Trading
This is the most exciting aspect of OmiseGO on which they will be providing to the masses. The ability to transact any currency into the currency of their choice. This is through their White Label Wallet SDK that companies will be able to create their unique applications on top of the OMG Network. Correct me if I am wrong, but this could also allow the use of their White Label Wallet SDK to create a Foreign Exchange for trading purposes. The amount that is traded on Foreign Currency each day
is roughly $3 Trillion. Reuters Foreign Echange Volume FX Total - $1095 Trillion 4) Crypto Exchange Trading
Lastly, similar to the last point, there can easily be a Decentralized Crypto Exchange that can be created using the OMG network. Through looking at volumes on a 30 Day Period, it is easy to estimate a yearly projection. The previous 30 Days there was $853.2 Billion traded on various markets according to Coin Market Cap. Therefore the estimation would place a yearly total as being $10.38 Trillion over 365 Days of Trading. Coin Market Cap CX Total - $10.38 Trillion Overall Estimation of all 4 Sections - $1,108.907 Trillion.
Therefore once the Network goes live, that is an estimated total amount, that can be eventually transacted. However it is not likely that the OMG Network will transact all of the above. If we assume we only obtain 1% of the Market by the end of 2018 in each sector, the OMG Network can be transacting close to $11.089 Trillion.
Dependent on the Transaction Fee that is associated with the OMG Network, the following amounts could be distributed to Token Holders for each token. For Example: Total Token Supply:
140,245,398 * (Estimation of 75% of Tokens Staked) = 105,184,048.5 Transaction Fee:
1% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.01 = 110.89 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $1054.25 .5% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.005 = 55.445 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $527.12 .1% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.001 = 11.089 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $105.42
People have been mentioning Transaction Fee Rates to be 0.5% as the base. This means there is potentially a much smaller Transaction Fee that could be obtained that makes the OMG Network competitive and much more focused on providing user more for their daily use. I believe the Transaction Fee should be much less, but still shows the value OMG could be delivering to the world in the future. Conclusion
Based on the above information it clearly shows what potential markets we could be helping by lowering fees to everyone on a global scale. I did not include Credit Card Transactions as that requires a Credit system, as this Network would mainly be dependent on Debit Transactions, meaning individuals already have Fiat/Crypto/Reward Points in their possession. Credit amounts can be calculated later once there are banks using this application with their Credit Services. As well there is currently no market for trading reward points, therefore it can not be accurately estimated on how much it will be used.
If you have any comments or questions on what I have stated please let me know. The above is information that I have found and thought it may benefit the community from understanding the possibility and the markets that OmiseGO will be aiding in the future. Please discuss any information that I may have missed and might find beneficial to add. EDIT:
Thank you ii_OiO_ii for correcting my mistake on the FX Amount. I have made the adjustments.
Ok I'm going to be ultra conservative right now and try and calculate our possible staking rewards at this point. First, let's look at some facts:
Omise has about 55.000 merchants at this moment using their product at this moment (taken from their website) Let's just say every merchant handles about lets say 60 dollars per day. This is ultra conservative. Let's not forget McDonalds Thailand is added to the merchant list and they are also based in Singapore and Japan. Now I've been in those 2 countries and you pay 20 dollars for a beer sometimes. They are expensive. For a complete list look at the marchant list of Omise: https://www.reddit.com/CryptoCurrency/comments/71h2gv/omisego_merchant_list/
. Note they have Thai Airlines on there as well. They just need 0,5 costumers a day to buy 1 ticket to get to that 60 dollar a day, just saying.
Okay so we have 55.000 merchants, handling 60 dollars a day, for 365 days a year (on average, weekdays probably more busy or perhaps saturdays the most busy day of the week, no one knows). That is 1,2 billion dollars a year at the very least. This is JUST the amount of money OMG handles on their regular payments network. This is so freaking conservative I it's funny.
Ok so now we have established OMG will handle about 1,2 billion dollars per year just on their payments network.
Then we have the international conglomerate, TOPPAN, GlobalBrain, Tendermint, Electrify, and most importantly TrueMoney as partners and users of the blockchain. The last one transferring 4 billion dollars over 6 countries according to Jun. This is the tweet: https://twitter.com/jun_omise/status/917556490189266945
Let's be ultra, ultra conservative and say that adds about 3,5 billion dollars to the network. That totals 4,7.
THEN we have Tendermint/COSMOS. This is where it gets interesting. OMG has a longterm partnership with Cosmos, creators of Tendermint. (source https://blog.omisego.network/approach-to-delivering-scalability-56d034619ef0
). Omisego will go live on this network and start their PoS protocol here first. Then move to Plasma once its complete. This could also mean that tendermint volume will transact through the OMG network once its own blockchain goes live in order to keep transaction costs as low as possible and allow for even more transaction than tendermint is able to do right now. Why else would they partner up?
Lets take a close look at this tweet, retweeted by Tendermint on twitter: https://twitter.com/cerebralbosons/status/944291345597943814
"Just found out there's a production app that's been running on the @tendermint_team platform for 9 months and clears half a billion $$ a day!" In the comments I found the production app is https://fxclr.com/
The Forex Exchange clearing house.
Half a billion dollars. Per day. Let that sink in. However, lets be ultra conservative and make that 5 billion dollars per YEAR for an app/business that does only 0,0027% of that amount (I feel stupid for being THAT conservative really). That brings our total to 5 + the earlier mentioned 4,7 billion to 9,7 billion dollars. Now lets also assume that MAYBE some other businesses, merchants or even a freaking NATION STATE as mentioned by Thomas Greco at the Token summit bring another 1,3 billion dollars to the table. This gives us 11 billion dollars through the network per year. Now again, I believe this is ultra conservative and I think this can actually be 2 or even 3 times as high right off the bat as they have a White label wallet, meaning any business can just plugin to the OMG network with the blink of an eye for 2 to 5 times less transaction fees...
So what will this deliver for the stakers?
Let's take our ultra conservative 11 billion dollars and lets assume 1% transaction fees (Mind you, Omise is currently asking 3,65% per transaction). Also lets assume about 52 million coins are staked from the current circulation supply + the 38million OMG hold themselves meaning 90 million staked coins.
11 billion x 1% fees divided by 90 million stakers = 1,22 dollars per staked coin per year. This is the ABSOLUTE, laughable conservative minimum in my eyes.
With a current trading price at 17,81 that gives you a 6,8% return on your initial investment. This is why you buy NOW.
As noted by Omise on their website, they have a 500% increase in transaction from 2015-2016. Adoption rate can be fast, especially with low fees and the most possible transactions in crypto. They are unbanking the banked and they are banking the unbanked. They have a decentralized exchange, they are in talks with a messaging app (source: crowdsale doc), others can stick into the OMG network with their SDK wallet, they have SO MUCH going on right now.
This has so much potential I cant even wrap my head around it anymore. Like Thomas Greco said at the token summit (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eluNnM0f9Q
) : a 1 billion market cap is potentially insignificant. I believe it is.
1 Question : Exchange launch
Answer : In terms of timeline, we're looking to launch Beta by end of April. Live launch to occur once we're happy and customers are happy with the beta, and all bugs are worked out. We're fully commited to releasing beta by end of April. I've had sneak peaks, and I'm confident this will occur. We have a very unique platform, unlike anything else that exists in the market, but still with the functionality that everyone is looking for.
2 Question : How are we going to stake tio for LP? Cold wallet? Or through tio wallet?
Answer : Through TIO wallet. You'll be able to add or remove TIO from the wallet at your discretion, providing the ultimate in flexibility for the participants
3 Question : When Binance?
Answer : As usual, any new exchanges will be announced as they arise. We will only add TIO to established exchanges. Of course, every company wants to be on Binance, given their importance in the crypto community. With that said, though, being an exchange ourselves, our major objective is to ensure the question starts being "When trade.io". That is our ultimate goal.
4 Question : For LP, the daily payout will be in fiat or in different cryptos?
Answer : At the onset, until we're able to offer fiat/crypto exchanges, payouts will be daily in crypto.
5 Question : Is Mobile app also planned ? and by when date we can download it from Google play ?
Answer : Yes, no time frame has been established in terms of release, but I would safely expect it a "few" months from release of the platform. Due note, the platform will be optimized for mobile, so you should have no issues using it on most any mobile device.
6 Question : A "long term" ques, for traditional markets (ie equities, FX), what are TIO's a) Competitive advantage b) Plan to attract clients from traditional brokers
Answer : a. Competitive advantage - Competitive advantage apart from a unique, responsive and fully customizable platform is world class customer support and funding/withdrawal. b. Plan to attract clients from traditional brokers -
7 Question : Only two other exchanges have tokens, i.e. BNB & KCS, (Binance & Kucoin) with both having performed fairly well. So my question is how does trade.io plan to differentiate itself from these 2 exchanges.
Answer : We're looking to provide an experience, despite the amount of clients we have, that every client will feel that they are receiving personalized service. We have already hired close to 100+ customer support personnel who are fully trained and ready to rock. Ageed, they are both very formidable exchanges who have done very well in a fairly short amount of time. In addiiton to the exchange itself and support, obviously the liquidity pool is a very unique value add proposition. To our knowledge we're the only exchange that is bascially giving back up to .50 on each dollar earned. This provides an extraordinary opportunity to LP participants.
8 Question : Hey Paul, what will be the process for picking beta testers?
Answer : We will be reaching out to our most loyal TIO holders. You will be contacted by an admin if you're on the short list.
9 Question : Why do you think that the value of the TIO has risen in recent days?
Answer : Obviously the overall market sentiment has helped. I don't want to speak specifically on TIO, but its very nice to see the market has perhaps found a bottom and its time for the companies with actual products and potential rising. I also think the relatively low amount of circulating tokens helps TIO move with very small volume. That was part of the gameplan with keepping the amount of TIO low, and locking a majority of them into the LP.
10 Question : Paul, thinking strategically, how do u see traditional financial platforms like Bloomberg, that are already connected to the financial markets, providing its own crypto exchange( the product that they lack now) to Institutional Investors? When do expect this to happen? And how trade.io will be positioning to attract institution facing this players.
Answer : Great question, we're actually very interested in having discussions with the larger financial platforms to utilize trade.io platform in a white label type format. We feel an exchange that can tap into these large financial portals will have a tremendous competitive advantage, as no single exchange can out spend an bloomberg, etc for market share. Our first major move is by participating in the IFX Expo in May in Cyprus which is the largest gathering of forex brokers both institutional and retail we will be pitching our services to them as well as we are already positioning a white label service of our platform. Stay tuned to our social for updates on this.
11 Question : After the launch of the exchange followed by (unique and awesome) liquidity pool, what is the next big focus of trade.io ?
Answer : World domination! We want to perfect our exchange, liqudiity pool and consulting services quite honestly as they are our core products. We will have bugs, issues, etc. to work through upon launch as every company from Apple to Google has these issues. Its only once we're comfortable with these 3 facets we'll look to start executing additional initiatives. Too often companies try to focus on multiple things out of the starting gate without perfecting their core initiatives. We don't want to fall into that trap.
12 Question : Any plans to partner with coinfi, cindicator, or other platforms to give tradeio platform users an edge? After all, we want users to actively use tradeio daily
Answer : Yes, we are in talks with many 3rd parties that want to partner with trade.io. We are always interested in value adds for our clients.
13 Question : Some months ago, you did a questionnaire about which coins the users want to be added to the exchange, and in the end you gave us a list. It's still early, but wanted to know if that list is still valid?
Answer : Yes, very much so. The gameplan is to launch the major coins first, such as ETH, BTC, BCH, LTC, etc. Then gradually offer the altcoins. We have decided not to offer 100's of tokens on day 1, in order to work through any minor bugs.
14 Question : What are the current biggest challenges faced by TIO and how do you plan to overcome them ?
Answer : As Jim Preissler, our CEO has discussed multiple times, the ever changing regulatory landscape is something that impacts every type of company in crypto. We welcome regulation, however. trade.io is chock full of people that have worked most of their career in regulated industries, this gives us a tremendous advantage in navigating around these uncertain times. Another challenge is security and keeping on top of it. To that end, we have spent a tremendous amount of resources on ensuring our security is robust from Day 1. Too often companies only look to tighten up security after an incident has happen. We have taken a much more proactive stance on security.
15 Question : Will tradeio offer usd pairings in beta or when forex is ready?
Answer : Beta will include USDT pairs.
16 Question : Have we gotten the SEC license?
Answer : No license has been procured in the US. Its actively being worked on using multiple legal teams. We will keep everyone updated as this unfolds.
17 Question : Any marketing plan next month?
Answer : Marketing will be sharing their plans as we get closer to the end of the month. but we have IFX EXPO in May. Please read what Helen Astaniou Chief Marketing Officer has shared during her AMA here - https://www.reddit.com/TradeIOICO/comments/89bz4u/live_qa_with_tradeios_cmo_helen_astaniou_on/
18 Question : If I have 25K tio tokens right now. what will you tell me to do?
Answer : Well, we really can't advise one way or the other, but it goes without saying the liquidity pool is a major useage for TIO and provides tremendous advantages to participate in the success of trade.io The pretty cool thing about the liqudiity pool, is that you're only sharing in the good times and not the bad. You'll only see credits into your account, never debits.
19 Question : What other cool stuff aside from LP that trade.io can offer? to increase more the price of TIO's.?
Answer : a) Partnerships b) More visiblity c) White Labeling of Platform d) ICO Consulting and many, many other things.
20 Question : When do you think you'll be hitting the drums of advertisement? I think this is needed. 1 months from now, 2, 3? Thx
Answer : We'll be engaging in various marketing channels both online and offline to attract direct traders very soon. clear messaging on the benefit mentioned above. This will include where a trader can act as a trader and a liquidity partner at the same time as well as partnerships with existing brokers ..specifically the smaller ones as they suffer from obtaining best pricing for clearing their trades.. hence the liqudiity pool acting as a liquidity and clearing partner. Long story short, very soon, i.e. weeks and not months
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